Quantipulation: Fat People Are The Cause Of Inefficient Fuel Use

October 10, 2012
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A major insurance company (whom I won’t mention by name in a feeble attempt to stay out of trouble, but which you can easily identify with a Google search or two) has concluded (as quoted by the Chicago Tribune, which clearly had nothing better to report on):

“Obese Americans are hurting the fuel efficiency of vehicles, contributing to more than 1 billion gallons of fuel wasted each year.”

According to the infographic on the insurer’s blog (gotta have an infographic if you’re going to disseminate statistics!), 39 million gallons of fuel are used per year for every pound added on in average passenger weight.

My take: The study is an example of quantipulation at its finest. 

While obesity is a real, and serious, issue, tying fuel consumption to increasing obesity rates conveniently leaves out a significant contributing factor: Demographic trends. 

The baby boom between 1946 and 1964 produced a generation of roughly 77 million people. 

So what happened was this: People born between 1950 and 1960 increased in age from newborns to 10 years old to 10 to 20 years old in the 1960 to 1970 period (the first ten years of the study), and so on for each of the next three decades of the study. 

Not surprisingly, as people go from childhood to adulthood (and sadly, through adulthood), their weight naturally increases. 

In addition to individual people’s weight gains, with more kids in the car, the overall passenger weight in the car increased.

Bottom line: The increase in passenger weight is attributable to not just obesity, but to the natural weight gains of people as they age, and to the increase in the number of passengers in the vehicle which increased throughout the study. 

But please don’t let this stop you from blaming fat people for higher gas prices, and for ruining the environment. 

 

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    One Response to Quantipulation: Fat People Are The Cause Of Inefficient Fuel Use

    1. Douglas Hope on November 2, 2012 at 11:13 am

      Rubbish. Drivers *are* getting fatter, and primarily because of a combination of factory food and lack of exercise. For any given driver age *group*, car usage over time is paralleled by a rise in average weight. So people within any age group *are* both getting fatter and so most decidely contributing to fuel wastage.

      There is a bright side. At less than 33% fuel efficiency, the car is contributing far, far more to fuel wastage. Effectively 2/3 of all oil is entirely wasted. We’ve had a century and a half to come up with an less mindless alternative, but that’s human fallibility for you..

      Moreover, in 2000, about 37 percent of Earth’s land area was given over to agriculture. These lands have to be ploughed, seeded, irrigated, tilled, fertilised and harvested, but the oil is running out. Another decade and driver weights (and the earth’s population) will drop, possibly quite fast. Until that time, fat people will continue to drive and take long-haul, short-stay flights, the polar regions will be prostituted for their oil. Everyone doing their bit for complete climate collapse.



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