Deflation Probabilities Remain Low

Prices of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) with similar maturity dates can be used to measure probabilities of a net decline in the consumer price index over the five-year period starting in early 2011 or the five-year period starting in early 2012. One measure of the probability of deflation for the 2012-17 period was 0 percent on February 13, down from 3 percent on February 6. The 2011-2016 deflation probability was 3 percent
on February 13, down from 4 percent on February 6.

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Related posts:

1. Deflation Probability Measures Remain Low
2. Deflation Probability Measures Remain Steady
3. Longer-term deflation probabilities about the same

Original Post: http://www.frbatlanta.org/research/inflationproject/dp/

Posted on February 14, 2013 at 12:02 am under Newswire. Follow this entry via RSS 2.0.